Super Bowl futures bets
Week 10 marks the start of the second half of the 2023 NFL season, but Super Bowl futures odds suggest the league is headed for a rematch of last year’s championship match between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles.
a few others are severely undervalued and could turn into strong picks
Philly is a league-best 8-1, while Kansas City is 6-2 and the top seed in the AFC. Several teams are close behind in betting odds, but a few others are severely undervalued and could turn into strong picks for the future.
Here are three Super Bowl futures bets to think about heading into the business half of the season.
Cincinnati Bengals (+1300)
According to FanDuel Sportsbook, the Bengals are the seventh-most likely team to win the Super Bowl next February. They were an early favorite but fell to around +3000 as Joe Burrow’s calf injury led them to start the season 1-3, but since then, they’ve won four straight games and against three projected playoff teams.
Cincy has also made a living off of starting slow and roaring into the playoffs
Burrow is red hot and has ten touchdowns and two interceptions over his last four games, and the defense has kept its last four opponents to an average of 17 points. Cincy has also made a living off of starting slow and roaring into the playoffs and using that momentum to reach consecutive AFC Championship Games (and one Super Bowl).
The Bengals’ odds have shortened dramatically with every recent win and will continue to do so with every passing week. Anyone who is a believer in Burrow and co. should invest in them sooner rather than later while the value is still there.
Detroit Lions (+1500)
What makes winning the Super Bowl easier? Reaching the Super Bowl. The NFC is the weaker of the two conferences and the Lions won’t have to contend with potential Super Bowl winners in every round of the postseason.
Detroit, which is 6-2 and has the fifth-easiest remaining strength of schedule, has a real chance to secure the one seed in the NFC. If they do, there’s a world in which they only have to beat one of the Eagles, San Francisco 49ers, or Dallas Cowboys, and then they’ll be in the Super Bowl.
The Lions haven’t won a playoff game since January 1992, yet their value as a Super Bowl futures pick is undeniable. They’re 10th in average scoring differential, have an elite offense, and can get after the quarterback, which is exactly what’s needed in the modern NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars (+2000)
The Jags won 14 of their last 16 games against non-Kansas City Chiefs opponents and are on a five-game win streak. They’ll get a tough test against the 49ers coming off a bye this week, and that will serve as a litmus test in one of their toughest games of the year.
better decisions from Lawrence could turn their offense from decent to elite
Trevor Lawrence hasn’t taken the leap that many expected him to, but there’s a glass-half-full outlook that comes with that. The team is 25th in third down conversion percentage and 26th in red zone touchdown scoring percentage, and better decisions from Lawrence could turn their offense from decent to elite.
Jacksonville’s defense is vastly improved and forces more turnovers than any other unit in the league. They’ll likely have to get past their boogeyman in Kansas City to even reach the Super Bowl, but they now have a yearlong track record of winning games against nearly every other opponent.