Bank of Japan Governor Ueda

  • In response to supply-driven inflation, central banks’ decision
    making faces the difficult dilemma between considerations of economic
    activity and the need to tackle surging inflation
  • Increase in
    inflationary pressure has been caused by supply factors such as a
    rapid rise in commodity prices, labour shortages, and disruptions to
    supply chains
  • Recent global
    inflation has also been influenced by demand factors, including the
    effects of expansionary fiscal and monetary policy measures and the
    pent-up demand after the spread of pandemic
  • In light of these
    points, it is extremely important to carefully analyse various
    indicators and examine the underlying trend in prices
  • Whether inflation is
    caused by demand or supply has very important implications for
    monetary policy making
  • There are many
    issues that need to be better understood regarding inflation
    expectations
  • Market participants,
    firms, and households all have different expectations formation,
    given different perceptions of current inflation
  • Inflation
    expectations are susceptible to the influence of their experience or
    psychological conditions, as well as to the central bank’s
    communication
  • It may be difficult to deny the possibility that we are already in a
    new normal that is different from the period of ‘low for long’
    inflation
  • As a result of
    increases in the variety of tool kits and also advances in monetary
    policy making, central banks need to be more careful about how they
    communicate
  • In scheduled policy
    review, boj will review the interaction between measures it took and
    economic activity, prices, and financial conditions, and the positive
    effects and the side effects, drawing on the knowledge in japan and
    abroad

USD/JPY is up a few tics or so, circa 139.86

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com. Source: https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/bank-of-japan-governor-ueda-says-higher-cpi-is-supply-driven-inflation-20230531/